Keno Odds and Payouts
Keno’s paytable is built on one rule: the more numbers you pick, the bigger the top prize and the longer the odds against landing it. Each spot size has its own table that pays a fixed multiple of your stake for each level of catches, and those multiples are always set below the true odds of the event. That gap — between what you’re paid and what’s fair — is the house edge, and in keno it’s one of the steepest on the casino floor.
How the paytable pays your catches
You’re paid on catches, not on hitting your whole spot. Each spot size has a dedicated paytable, so the same number of catches is worth different amounts depending on how many numbers you backed. On a low spot you usually need to catch most of your numbers to win anything; on a high spot you start getting paid for partial catches, but the lower rungs pay little and the real money sits at the top of the table. The multiples climb steeply with each extra catch — which is exactly why the headline numbers look so tempting.
Why picking more numbers lengthens the odds
This is the trade-off at the heart of keno. Adding a number to your spot multiplies the difficulty of catching them all, because every pick has to land among just 20 of the 80 balls. The odds of a full catch stretch out fast:
| Spot size | Odds of catching your whole spot |
|---|---|
| 1 number | around 1 in 4 |
| 3 numbers | around 1 in 72 |
| 5 numbers | around 1 in 1,550 |
| 8 numbers | around 1 in 230,000 |
| 10 numbers | around 1 in 8.9 million |
Treat those as indicative — exact figures depend on the game’s field and paytable, so check the live paytable in the app. The pattern never changes: the bigger top prize on a ten-spot is paid for with odds that make a full catch a genuine long shot. That’s the deal keno offers — a small stake for a shot at a large multiple, balanced by a tiny chance of getting there.
A worked rand example
Say you stake R20 on a five-spot. The game draws 20 numbers and you catch three of your five. On a typical paytable that might return a small win — a handful of rand, less than you staked across most rounds. Catch four of five and the multiple jumps to a healthy return on your R20; catch all five and you hit the top prize for that spot, often hundreds of times the stake. The trouble is the frequency: catching three or four happens now and again, but the all-five top prize is the rare hit those big multiples are pricing. Over a session, the small returns rarely cover the losing rounds — which is the house edge doing its quiet work.
The honest bit — keno’s edge is severe
Keno carries one of the highest house edges in the casino. Where blackjack can sit under 1% and slots commonly run 4–8%, keno frequently runs into the double digits — on many paytables the house keeps a quarter or more of every rand wagered over the long run. That’s not a quirk of one game; it’s how keno is built. The multiples on the paytable are set well short of the true odds, so the longer you play, the more reliably the maths grinds against you. None of this rules out a big night on a lucky draw. It means you should know, going in, that keno is one of the most expensive ways to bet in the casino, and stake accordingly.
What to do with this
The maths points to one sensible read, and the keno strategy guide lays it out: smaller spots keep the odds and the edge more bearable, a firm budget caps the damage, and the game is best treated as entertainment with a long-shot upside. If you want to walk the mechanics first, the how to play keno guide covers the full round. Keno is live at Scorebet when you want a go.
Frequently asked
What are the odds of hitting all your numbers in keno?
They lengthen fast with the spot size. Catching a single number on a one-spot is roughly 1 in 4, but landing all of a ten-spot is about 1 in 8.9 million. Each extra number you add to your spot makes a full catch dramatically harder, which is why the top prizes are so large and so rare.
How does the keno paytable work?
Each spot size has its own paytable that pays a fixed multiple of your stake for each number of catches. More catches pay more, and the multiples are bigger on larger spots — but those bigger spots are far harder to hit. The multiples are deliberately set below the true odds, and that gap is the house edge.
What is the house edge in keno?
Keno's house edge is one of the steepest in the casino, commonly in the double digits and often a quarter or more of every rand staked over the long run. That's far worse than slots, blackjack or roulette. It's the price you pay for the simplicity and the chance at a large top-prize multiple.
Why can two keno games with the same paytable still cost you different amounts?
The house edge depends not just on the multiples but on the exact odds behind each catch level, and those can differ between games even when the headline paytable looks similar. One game might pay a four-spot catch the same multiple as another but draw from a slightly different structure, shifting the long-run return. Comparing the full paytable for the spot you actually play, rung by rung, is the only honest way to tell which is cheaper.
Why are the lower rungs on a big-spot paytable almost worthless?
On an eight, nine or ten-spot the table pays for partial catches, but the small-catch rungs are deliberately set low — often returning less than your stake — because the game is steering the value to the rare top hits. You catch a few numbers fairly often, but those payouts barely dent the losing rounds. The big multiples are real, but they're priced as the long shots they are, which is the edge doing its work.